Construction market trends

United States

X Values Permits (LHS, SAAR Millions) Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-19 1295 519565
Feb-19 1304 519977
Mar-19 1316 521651
Apr-19 1337 527291
May-19 1337 532890
Jun-19 1276 541719
Jul-19 1369 552029
Aug-19 1479 556709
Sep-19 1439 559629
Oct-19 1509 561262
Nov-19 1509 572412
Dec-19 1453 581530
Jan-20 1550 591497
Feb-20 1478 609742
Mar-20 1382 617567
Apr-20 1094 597672
May-20 1246 584171
Jun-20 1296 590445
Jul-20 1542 608617
Aug-20 1522 632725
Sep-20 1589 648272
Oct-20 1595 664062
Nov-20 1696 684497
Dec-20 1758 704835
Jan-21 1883 731248
Feb-21 1726 729266
Mar-21 1755 745016
Apr-21 1733 752819
May-21 1683 762852
Jun-21 1594 780726
Jul-21 1630 775917
Aug-21 1721 780511
Sep-21 1586 791074
Oct-21 1653 789144
Nov-21 1717 796308

Supply shortages constraining residential supply but demand strong; conditions positive in non-residential sector with output yet to bottom.

Private residential up 0.9% m-o-m (16.3% y-o-y); building permits up 3.9% m-o-m (1.2% y-o-y). Private non-residential up 0.1% m-o-m (6.7% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) falls to 51 in November from 54.3 in October (>50=expansion).

China

X Values Series1
Jan-19 17.91
Feb-19 13.08
Mar-19 10.69
Apr-19 13.08
May-19 11.15
Jun-19 9.12
Jul-19 6.61
Aug-19 6.95
Sep-19 6.05
Oct-19 11.01
Nov-19 8.02
Dec-19 8.26
Jan-20 -6.58
Feb-20 -17.65
Mar-20 -30.64
Apr-20 -18.42
May-20 -8.57
Jun-20 3.82
Jul-20 7.59
Aug-20 7.70
Sep-20 3.91
Oct-20 1.28
Nov-20 1.84
Dec-20 4.71
Jan-21 11.84
Feb-21 24.91
Mar-21 8.31
Apr-21 -4.99
May-21 -10.93
Jun-21 -6.07
Jul-21 -9.99
Aug-21 -13.12
Sep-21 -17.42
Oct-21 -21.25
Nov-21 -22.64

Further declines in the residential property sector.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space started fell -21% in October; floor space sold fell -17% y-o-y.

Europe

X Values PMI (LHS) Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-19 50.6 0.85
Feb-19 52.6 6.60
Mar-19 52.2 6.33
Apr-19 52.1 3.19
May-19 50.6 2.33
Jun-19 50.8 1.95
Jul-19 50.6 1.86
Aug-19 49.1 1.02
Sep-19 50.5 0.46
Oct-19 50.7 0.56
Nov-19 50.6 1.20
Dec-19 51.3 -2.61
Jan-20 51.9 4.10
Feb-20 52.5 -0.36
Mar-20 33.5 -15.60
Apr-20 15.1 -29.85
May-20 39.5 -9.75
Jun-20 48.3 -4.19
Jul-20 48.9 -3.47
Aug-20 47.8 0.64
Sep-20 47.5 -2.83
Oct-20 44.9 -2.12
Nov-20 45.6 -0.37
Dec-20 45.5 -0.09
Jan-21 44.1 -2.68
Feb-21 45 -3.96
Mar-21 50.1 18.27
Apr-21 50.1 43.06
May-21 50.3 11.62
Jun-21 50.3 4.28
Jul-21 49.8 2.84
Aug-21 49.5 -1.46
Sep-21 50 2.26
Oct-21 51.2 3.95
Nov-21 53.3 #N/A
Dec-21 52.9 #N/A

Construction continues to pick up.

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI dipped from 53.3 in November to 52.9 in December (>50, expansion). Eurozone construction up 1.6% m-o-m in October (4% y-o-y); civil up 0.5% m-o-m (3.8% y-o-y).

India

X Values Series1
Jan-20 1.36
Feb-20 5.10
Mar-20 -8.96
Apr-20 -44.41
May-20 -21.15
Jun-20 -12.09
Jul-20 -7.95
Aug-20 -7.48
Sep-20 -0.34
Oct-20 -1.79
Nov-20 -1.10
Dec-20 0.40
Jan-21 1.30
Feb-21 -3.30
Mar-21 12.60
Apr-21 62.60
May-21 16.40
Jun-21 9.40
Jul-21 9.90
Aug-21 12.20
Sep-21 4.50
Oct-21 8.40
Nov-21 3.10

Core sector growth weaker than expected in November with heavy rain in parts of Southern India impacting activity.

Weighted average of eight core industries output up 3.1% y-o-y in November; production of steel up 0.8%; cement down -3.2 y-o-y.


 

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