Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191295519565
Feb-191304519977
Mar-191316521651
Apr-191337527291
May-191337532890
Jun-191276541719
Jul-191369552029
Aug-191479556709
Sep-191439559629
Oct-191509561262
Nov-191509572412
Dec-191453581530
Jan-201550591497
Feb-201478609742
Mar-201382617567
Apr-201094597672
May-201246584171
Jun-201296590445
Jul-201542608617
Aug-201522632725
Sep-201589648272
Oct-201595664062
Nov-201696684497
Dec-201758704835
Jan-211883731248
Feb-211726729266
Mar-211755745016
Apr-211733752819
May-211683762852
Jun-211594780726
Jul-211630775917
Aug-211721780511
Sep-211586791074
Oct-211653789144
Nov-211717796308

Supply shortages constraining residential supply but demand strong; conditions positive in non-residential sector with output yet to bottom.

Private residential up 0.9% m-o-m (16.3% y-o-y); building permits up 3.9% m-o-m (1.2% y-o-y). Private non-residential up 0.1% m-o-m (6.7% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) falls to 51 in November from 54.3 in October (>50=expansion).

China

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.70
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.84
Feb-2124.91
Mar-218.31
Apr-21-4.99
May-21-10.93
Jun-21-6.07
Jul-21-9.99
Aug-21-13.12
Sep-21-17.42
Oct-21-21.25
Nov-21-22.64

Further declines in the residential property sector.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space started fell -21% in October; floor space sold fell -17% y-o-y.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.85
Feb-1952.66.60
Mar-1952.26.33
Apr-1952.13.19
May-1950.62.33
Jun-1950.81.95
Jul-1950.61.86
Aug-1949.11.02
Sep-1950.50.46
Oct-1950.70.56
Nov-1950.61.20
Dec-1951.3-2.61
Jan-2051.94.10
Feb-2052.5-0.36
Mar-2033.5-15.60
Apr-2015.1-29.85
May-2039.5-9.75
Jun-2048.3-4.19
Jul-2048.9-3.47
Aug-2047.80.64
Sep-2047.5-2.83
Oct-2044.9-2.12
Nov-2045.6-0.37
Dec-2045.5-0.09
Jan-2144.1-2.68
Feb-2145-3.96
Mar-2150.118.27
Apr-2150.143.06
May-2150.311.62
Jun-2150.34.28
Jul-2149.82.84
Aug-2149.5-1.46
Sep-21502.26
Oct-2151.23.95
Nov-2153.3#N/A
Dec-2152.9#N/A

Construction continues to pick up.

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI dipped from 53.3 in November to 52.9 in December (>50, expansion). Eurozone construction up 1.6% m-o-m in October (4% y-o-y); civil up 0.5% m-o-m (3.8% y-o-y).

India

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.10
Dec-200.40
Jan-211.30
Feb-21-3.30
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-214.50
Oct-218.40
Nov-213.10

Core sector growth weaker than expected in November with heavy rain in parts of Southern India impacting activity.

Weighted average of eight core industries output up 3.1% y-o-y in November; production of steel up 0.8%; cement down -3.2 y-o-y.


 

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