Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191.254517390
Feb-191.302516797
Mar-191.291517696
Apr-191.298522630
May-191.338528461
Jun-191.301540442
Jul-191.347552575
Aug-191.528559755
Sep-191.491563783
Oct-191.538567704
Nov-191.522580112
Dec-191.461586250
Jan-201.500598551
Feb-201.440609465
Mar-201.348617132
Apr-201.050595620
May-201.253583199
Jun-201.329589685
Jul-201.526609849
Aug-201.564641103
Sep-201.643662353
Oct-201.622684180
Nov-201.713702717
Dec-201.760725025
Jan-211.866748052
Feb-211.700742853
Mar-211.731757335
Apr-211.714766640
May-211.68779374
Jun-211.644792075
Jul-211.618806484
Aug-211.837813307
Sep-211.636819594
Oct-211.727828907
Nov-211.775852881
Dec-211.948881281
Jan-221.898912687
Feb-221.817931898
Mar-221.877949368
Apr-221.795965838
May-221.708969636
Jun-221.701955943
Jul-221.658929672
Aug-221.586907606
Sep-221.588891657
Oct-221.555877990
Nov-221.402865170
Dec-221.409853718
Jan-231.354856046
Feb-231.482847507
Mar-231.437846865
Apr-231.417824707
May-231.496853896
Jun-231.441860888
Jul-231.443855438
Aug-231.541866550
Sep-231.471872038
Oct-231.498887278
Nov-231.4967896758

Overall construction underpinned by the single family segment due a shortage of homes; policy by the administration to bring manufacturing to the USA supporting factory construction.

Private residential output up 1.1% m-o-m (3.7% y-o-y) in November; Building permits down -2.1% m-o-m (4.6% y-o-y) but single family permits up 0.7% m-o-m and to the highest since May 2022.

Private non-residential output up 0.2% m-o-m (19.3% y-o-y) in November; Architecture Billings Index (ABI) up to 45.3 in November from 44.3 in October (< 50, contraction).

China

X ValuesFloor space started
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.7
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.8
Feb-2124.9
Mar-218.3
Apr-21-5
May-21-10.9
Jun-21-6.1
Jul-21-10
Aug-21-13.1
Sep-21-17.4
Oct-21-21.2
Nov-21-22.6
Dec-21-28.6
Jan-22-24.1
Feb-22-23.1
Mar-22-17.5
Apr-22-28.9
May-22-36
Jun-22-43.8
Jul-22-44.1
Aug-22-45.3
Sep-22-45.1
Oct-22-42.1
Nov-22-43.9
Dec-22-43.8
Jan-23-40.4
Feb-23-27.45
Mar-23-19.16
Apr-23-24.24
May-23-28.65
Jun-23-29.59
Jul-23-29.12
Aug-23-27.70
Sep-23-21.50
Oct-23-19.70
Nov-23-11.30

China: Signs of stabilisation in the residential market continue due to government support but no signifiant rebound in activity expected.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space eased to -11.3% in November; floor space sold was down -20.4% y-o-y.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.65.63
Feb-1952.65.64
Mar-1952.25.65
Apr-1952.12.72
May-1950.61.96
Jun-1950.81.86
Jul-1950.61.77
Aug-1949.11.86
Sep-1950.50.73
Oct-1950.70.93
Nov-1950.61.48
Dec-1951.3-1.53
Jan-2051.95.04
Feb-2052.50
Mar-2033.5-15.61
Apr-2015.1-29.52
May-2039.5-10.24
Jun-2048.3-4.56
Jul-2048.9-2.66
Aug-2047.80
Sep-2047.5-2.28
Oct-2044.9-1.47
Nov-2045.6-0.10
Dec-2045.5-1.1
Jan-2144.1-3.2
Feb-2145-3.89
Mar-2150.119.03
Apr-2150.142.93
May-2150.312.74
Jun-2150.35.45
Jul-2149.83.67
Aug-2149.5-1.00
Sep-21503.35
Oct-2151.23.82
Nov-2153.32.85
Dec-2152.9-0.18
Jan-2256.63.95
Feb-2256.37.55
Mar-2252.83.70
Apr-2250.42.63
May-2249.22.35
Jun-22472.08
Jul-22471.45
Aug-2245.72.03
Sep-2244.20.54
Oct-2245.30.72
Nov-2243.61.16
Dec-2242.6-0.09
Jan-2346.10.44
Feb-2347.61.67
Mar-2345-0.90
Apr-2345.20.26
May-2344.60.53
Jun-2344.2-0.00
Jul-2343.51.52
Aug-2343.40.72
Sep-2343.61.3
Oct-2342.7-0.5
Nov-2343.4-2.1
Dec-2343.6

Eurozone construction continues to struggle with civil engineering, commercial real estate and particularly housing showing weakness. Falling new orders mean that weak conditions to persist in the first half of 2024.

Eurozone construction down -1.0% m-o-m (-0.5% y-o-y) in October; Buildings down -0.9% m-o-m (-0.8% y-o-y); Civil works down -1.0% m-o-m (1.2% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI increased to 43.6 in December from 43.4 in November (< 50, contraction).

India

X ValuesAvg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-191.4
Feb-191.8
Mar-195.0
Apr-194.3
May-192.9
Jun-190.2
Jul-192.0
Aug-19-0.7
Sep-19-5.7
Oct-19-5.4
Nov-190.3
Dec-190.9
Jan-201.4
Feb-205.1
Mar-20-9.0
Apr-20-44.4
May-20-21.1
Jun-20-12.1
Jul-20-8.0
Aug-20-7.5
Sep-20-0.3
Oct-20-1.8
Nov-20-1.7
Dec-20-0.3
Jan-210.7
Feb-21-3.7
Mar-2112.6
Apr-2162.6
May-2116.4
Jun-219.4
Jul-2110.0
Aug-2112.2
Sep-215.4
Oct-218.7
Nov-213.2
Dec-214.1
Jan-224.0
Feb-225.9
Mar-224.8
Apr-229.5
May-2219.3
Jun-2213.1
Jul-224.8
Aug-224.2
Sep-228.3
Oct-220.7
Nov-225.7
Dec-228.3
Jan-239.7
Feb-237.4
Mar-234.2
Apr-234.6
May-235.2
Jun-238.4
Jul-238.5
Aug-2313.4
Sep-239.4
Oct-2312.0
Nov-237.9
Dec-233.8

India: Core sector growth tapers in December 2023 on higher base but underlying trend in activity is positive.

Weighted average of eight core industries output rose by 3.8% y-o-y in December; production of steel up 5.9%, cement up 1.3% y-o-y.


 

Technical trends

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