Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesABI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1955.3-1.30
Feb-1950.3-2.35
Mar-1947.81.53
Apr-1950.52.02
May-1950.23.56
Jun-1949.18.13
Jul-1950.110.15
Aug-1947.211.03
Sep-1949.711.73
Oct-195213.14
Nov-1951.917.35
Dec-1952.113.42
Jan-2052.213.69
Feb-2053.410.88
Mar-2033.37.26
Apr-2029.51.20
May-2032-2.45
Jun-2040-3.95
Jul-2040-6.77
Aug-2040-9.80
Sep-2047-11.22
Oct-2047.5-12.22
Nov-2046.3-15.07
Dec-2042.3-14.97
Jan-2144.9-12.06
Feb-2153.3-11.93
Mar-2155.6-10.90
Apr-2157.9-6.46
May-2158.5-3.96
Jun-2157.1-4.25
Jul-2154.6-2.44
Aug-2155.60.64
Sep-2156.63.23
Oct-2154.34.91
Nov-21519.38
Dec-215211.33
Jan-22517.94
Feb-2251.310.81
Mar-22589.97
Apr-2256.510.12

Housing market slowing with rising mortgage rates leading to reduced affordability for first time buyers; Private non-residential output slowing.

Private residential output up 0.9% m-o-m (18.4% y-o-y) in April; building permits down -3.0% m-o-m (3.3% y-o-y). Private non-residential output down -0.2% m-o-m (10% y-o-y). Architecture Billings Index (ABI) fell to 56.5 in April from 58 in March (>50, expansion).

China

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.70
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.84
Feb-2124.91
Mar-218.31
Apr-21-4.99
May-21-10.93
Jun-21-6.07
Jul-21-9.99
Aug-21-13.12
Sep-21-17.42
Oct-21-21.25
Nov-21-22.64
Dec-21-28.58
Jan-22-24.11
Feb-22-23.13
Mar-22-17.49
Apr-22-28.93

Real estate sector negatively impacted due to new COVID-19 restrictions and city lockdowns; People’s Bank of China announces a reduction in mortgage loan interest rates for first-time homebuyers.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space was down -28.9% in April; floor space sold down -23.3% y-o-y.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.85
Feb-1952.66.60
Mar-1952.26.33
Apr-1952.13.19
May-1950.62.33
Jun-1950.81.95
Jul-1950.61.86
Aug-1949.11.02
Sep-1950.50.46
Oct-1950.70.56
Nov-1950.61.20
Dec-1951.3-2.61
Jan-2051.94.10
Feb-2052.5-0.36
Mar-2033.5-15.60
Apr-2015.1-29.85
May-2039.5-9.75
Jun-2048.3-4.19
Jul-2048.9-3.47
Aug-2047.80.64
Sep-2047.5-2.83
Oct-2044.9-2.12
Nov-2045.6-0.37
Dec-2045.5-0.09
Jan-2144.1-3.49
Feb-2145-4.68
Mar-2150.118.27
Apr-2150.142.80
May-2150.310.91
Jun-2150.34.28
Jul-2149.82.74
Aug-2149.5-1.28
Sep-21502.63
Oct-2151.23.20
Nov-2153.30.83
Dec-2152.91.02
Jan-2256.64.45
Feb-2256.37.55
Mar-2252.82.89
Apr-2250.4#N/A
May-2249.2#N/A

Construction slowing amid inflation and increased uncertainty; Construction PMI contracts to 49.2 in May (<50=contraction) and for first time since August 2021.

Eurozone construction output in March sees no change over February but increases 2.9% y-o-y; Buildings down -0.1% m-o-m (2.8% y-o-y); Civil works up 1.5% m-o-m (3.0% y-o-y).

India

X Valuesgrowth
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.71
Dec-20-0.29
Jan-210.67
Feb-21-3.65
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-215.40
Oct-218.70
Nov-213.20
Dec-214.10
Jan-224.00
Feb-226.00
Mar-224.90
Apr-228.40

The core industries sector growth saw a pickup in economic activity in April driven by oil sector growth.

Weighted average of eight core industries output up to 8.4% y-o-y in April from 4.9 % in March; production of steel down -0.7%; cement up 8.0% y-o-y.


 

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