Construction market trends

United States

X Values ABI (LHS) Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-19 55.3 -1.49
Feb-19 50.3 -2.60
Mar-19 47.8 1.13
Apr-19 50.5 2.11
May-19 50.2 3.54
Jun-19 49.1 8.10
Jul-19 50.1 10.09
Aug-19 47.2 11.21
Sep-19 49.7 11.92
Oct-19 52 13.26
Nov-19 51.9 17.60
Dec-19 52.1 13.73
Jan-20 52.2 14.15
Feb-20 53.4 12.05
Mar-20 33.3 8.48
Apr-20 29.5 3.25
May-20 32 0.52
Jun-20 40 -0.77
Jul-20 40 -2.97
Aug-20 40 -6.80
Sep-20 47 -7.20
Oct-20 47.5 -7.49
Nov-20 46.3 -9.83
Dec-20 42.3 -8.77
Jan-21 44.9 -7.74
Feb-21 53.3 -8.81
Mar-21 55.6 -5.55
Apr-21 57.9 -2.64
May-21 58.5 -2.67
Jun-21 57.1 -2.39
Jul-21 54.6 -1.02
Aug-21 55.6 0.45
Sep-21 56.6 -0.20
Oct-21 54.3 0.55
Nov-21 51 3.62
Dec-21 52 3.67
Jan-22 51 3.45
Feb-22 51.3 5.73
Mar-22 58 2.89
Apr-22 56.5 3.09
May-22 53.5 4.36
Jun-22 53.2 6.19
Jul-22 51 7.8
Aug-22 53.3 9.5
Sep-22 51.7 14.6
Oct-22 47.7 15.3
Nov-22 46.6 15.5
Dec-22 47.5 15.0

US construction under pressure, particularly in the residential segment, due to elevated interest rates.

Private residential output down -0.3% m-o-m (1.7% y-o-y) in December; building permits down -1.0% m-o-m (-30% y-o-y).

Private non-residential output down -0.5% m-o-m (15% y-o-y). Architecture Billings Index (ABI) increased to  47.5 in December from 46.6 in November (<50, contraction).

China

X Values Floor space started
Jan-19 17.91
Feb-19 13.08
Mar-19 10.69
Apr-19 13.08
May-19 11.15
Jun-19 9.12
Jul-19 6.61
Aug-19 6.95
Sep-19 6.05
Oct-19 11.01
Nov-19 8.02
Dec-19 8.26
Jan-20 -6.58
Feb-20 -17.65
Mar-20 -30.64
Apr-20 -18.42
May-20 -8.57
Jun-20 3.82
Jul-20 7.59
Aug-20 7.70
Sep-20 3.91
Oct-20 1.28
Nov-20 1.84
Dec-20 4.71
Jan-21 11.8
Feb-21 24.9
Mar-21 8.3
Apr-21 -5.0
May-21 -19.9
Jun-21 -6.1
Jul-21 -10.0
Aug-21 -13.1
Sep-21 -17.4
Oct-21 -21.3
Nov-21 -22.6
Dec-21 -28.6
Jan-22 -24.1
Feb-22 -23.1
Mar-22 -17.5
Apr-22 -28.9
May-22 -36.0
Jun-22 -43.8
Jul-22 -44.1
Aug-22 -45.3
Sep-22 -45.1
Oct-22 -42.1
Nov-22 -43.8
Dec-22 -43.8

Residential construction down in 2022 while infrastructure activity supported overall construction; turnaround in residential expected in 2023.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space fell -44% in December; floor space sold down -30% y-o-y.

Europe

X Values PMI (LHS) Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-19 50.6 0.38
Feb-19 52.6 6.14
Mar-19 52.2 6.32
Apr-19 52.1 3.11
May-19 50.6 2.34
Jun-19 50.8 2.14
Jul-19 50.6 1.86
Aug-19 49.1 1.03
Sep-19 50.5 0.28
Oct-19 50.7 0.37
Nov-19 50.6 1.11
Dec-19 51.3 -2.45
Jan-20 51.9 4.32
Feb-20 52.5 -0.18
Mar-20 33.5 -15.57
Apr-20 15.1 -29.59
May-20 39.5 -9.23
Jun-20 48.3 -4.55
Jul-20 48.9 -3.0
Aug-20 47.8 .74
Sep-20 47.5 -2.84
Oct-20 44.9 -1.94
Nov-20 45.6 -1.28
Dec-20 45.5 -0.1
Jan-21 44.1 -3.5
Feb-21 45.0 -5.1
Mar-21 50.1 17.8
Apr-21 50.1 42.2
May-21 50.3 4.1
Jun-21 50.3 4.1
Jul-21 49.8 2.9
Aug-21 49.5 -1.3
Sep-21 50 2.6
Oct-21 51.2 2.8
Nov-21 53.3 0.7
Dec-21 52.9 0.9
Jan-22 56.6 3.6
Feb-22 56.3 7.5
Mar-22 52.8 2.4
Apr-22 50.4 1.8
May-22 49.2 2.0
Jun-22 47 1.2
Jul-22 47 1.2
Aug-22 45.7 2.1
Sep-22 44.2 1.9
Oct-22 45.3 1.2
Nov-22 43.6 0.9
Dec-22 42.6

Eurozone construction activity holds up due to government support in 2022 but higher interest rates to weigh negatively on residential demand.

Eurozone construction output down -0.8% m-o-m (0.9% y-o-y); buildings down -0.9% m-o-m (1.0% y-o-y); civil works up 0.4% m-o-m (1.4% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI rose to 46.1 in January 2023 from 42.6 in December (< 50, contraction).

India

X Values Avg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-19 1.44
Feb-19 1.79
Mar-19 4.98
Apr-19 4.30
May-19 2.91
Jun-19 0.18
Jul-19 2.00
Aug-19 -0.71
Sep-19 -5.72
Oct-19 -5.41
Nov-19 0.25
Dec-19 2.15
Jan-20 1.36
Feb-20 5.10
Mar-20 -8.96
Apr-20 -44.41
May-20 -21.15
Jun-20 -12.09
Jul-20 -7.95
Aug-20 -7.48
Sep-20 -0.34
Oct-20 -1.79
Nov-20 -1.71
Dec-20 -0.29
Jan-21 0.67
Feb-21 -3.65
Mar-21 12.60
Apr-21 62.60
May-21 16.40
Jun-21 9.40
Jul-21 9.90
Aug-21 12.20
Sep-21 5.40
Oct-21 8.70
Nov-21 3.20
Dec-21 4.10
Jan-22 4.00
Feb-22 5.90
Mar-22 4.80
Apr-22 9.50
May-22 19.30
Jun-22 13.10
Jul-22 4.80
Aug-22 4.20
Sep-22 7.80
Oct-22 0.90
Nov-22 5.7
Dec-22 7.4

India’s core index of infrastructure industries jumped strongly towards the end of the year.

Weighted average of eight core industries’ output rose by 7.4% y-o-y in December; production of steel up 9.2%; cement up 9.1% y-o-y.


 

Special topic

Update on the activities of the steel–concrete composite working group

Dr. Eng. Kazuaki Suzuki, Chief Manager, Construction Products Development Division at Nippon Steel Corporation provides an update on the activities of our composite construction steeel-concrete working group.

Technical trends

Accelerating capital projects to secure advantages in the net-zero transition

The net-zero transition would result in massive capital spending across sectors ($130 trillion till 2027), with the bulk of the investments going into projects that aim to reduce the buildup of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

First movers toward net zero can capture significant advantages – for example, through better access to talent, financing, technologies, etc. However, the current capital project environment is largely unprepared to tackle the sheer size and scope of decarbonisation and infrastructure construction projects, which will result in an inability of companies to achieve net-zero targets on schedule.

There are several strategies for leaders to speed up infrastructure projects that need to be executed with sustainability in mind. Tactics such as standardising design, using digital tools, re-skilling appropriately, forming collaborative partnerships with stakeholders, and installing capital-expenditure-management systems can go a long way toward accelerating project delivery.

Construction news headlines

construction market and regulations

Building materials and construction technologies

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