Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191295516899
Feb-191304516346
Mar-191316517654
Apr-191337523932
May-191337531954
Jun-191276542612
Jul-191369554234
Aug-191479558908
Sep-191439561924
Oct-191509564734
Nov-191509577566
Dec-191453583160
Jan-201550596265
Feb-201478607522
Mar-201382617990
Apr-201094599184
May-201246591253
Jun-201296593464
Jul-201542614353
Aug-201522638430
Sep-201589657613
Oct-201595677725
Nov-201696697825
Dec-201758719089
Jan-211883734961
Feb-211726738572
Mar-211755757841
Apr-211765770734
May-211691788401
Jun-211661799279
Jul-211655806484
Aug-211772811497
Sep-211615814272
Oct-211698816908
Nov-211729824006
Dec-211896842949
Jan-221841881907
Feb-221857903400
Mar-221879920041
Apr-221823931545
May-221695945199
Jun-221696934369
Jul-221685920354

U.S. homebuilding in July dropped to the lowest level in 18 months on rising interest rates and prices of construction materials.

Private residential output down -1.5% m-o-m (14% y-o-y); building permits down -0.6% m-o-m (1.8% y-o-y). Private non-residential output up 0.4% m-o-m (3.1% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) fell to 51 in July from 53.2 in June (>50, expansion) with the lowest reading since January.

China

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-19-1.90
Feb-19-0.86
Mar-19-1.40
Apr-19-0.25
May-19-1.27
Jun-19-2.33
Jul-19-2.30
Aug-190.58
Sep-192.90
Oct-193.11
Nov-192.01
Dec-190.07
Jan-20-6.38
Feb-20-15.49
Mar-20-28.55
Apr-20-19.28
May-20-8.53
Jun-203.19
Jul-206.34
Aug-207.45
Sep-209.85
Oct-2011.68
Nov-2011.25
Dec-2012.67
Jan-2120.60
Feb-2135.73
Mar-2136.64
Apr-2122.52
May-2110.58
Jun-2110.97
Jul-213.39
Aug-21-3.96
Sep-21-12.52
Oct-21-16.65
Nov-21-16.07
Dec-21-16.80
Jan-22-14.05
Feb-22-13.16
Mar-22-13.78
Apr-22-23.32
May-22-28.53
Jun-22-28.03
Jul-22-25.19

Residential sector remains under pressure due to government crackdown on property industry excesses and zero-covid policy. Recent loosening of restrictions aiding property sales.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space fell -44% in July; floor space sold fell -25% y-o-y.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.85
Feb-1952.66.60
Mar-1952.26.33
Apr-1952.13.19
May-1950.62.33
Jun-1950.81.95
Jul-1950.61.86
Aug-1949.11.02
Sep-1950.50.46
Oct-1950.70.56
Nov-1950.61.20
Dec-1951.3-2.61
Jan-2051.94.10
Feb-2052.5-0.36
Mar-2033.5-15.60
Apr-2015.1-29.85
May-2039.5-9.75
Jun-2048.3-4.19
Jul-2048.9-3.47
Aug-2047.80.64
Sep-2047.5-2.83
Oct-2044.9-2.12
Nov-2045.6-0.37
Dec-2045.5-0.09
Jan-2144.1-3.40
Feb-2145-4.77
Mar-2150.118.27
Apr-2150.142.54
May-2150.310.91
Jun-2150.34.57
Jul-2149.82.65
Aug-2149.5-1.56
Sep-21502.54
Oct-2151.22.92
Nov-2153.30.55
Dec-2152.90.93%
Jan-2256.63.70%
Feb-2256.37.47%
Mar-2252.82.35%
Apr-2250.42.18%
May-2249.22.00%
Jun-22470.64%
Jul-2245.7#N/A
Aug-2244.2#N/A

Eurozone construction remains burdened by scarcity of labour and material shortages.

Eurozone construction fell -1.3% m-o-m (0.6% y-o-y); Buildings down -1.2% m-o-m (0.6% y-o-y); Civil works down -1.3% m-o-m (0.3% y-o-y). In June, the IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI dropped to 44.2 in August from 45.7 in July (<50, contraction).

India

X ValuesGrowth
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.71
Dec-20-0.29
Jan-210.67
Feb-21-3.65
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-215.40
Oct-218.70
Nov-213.20
Dec-214.10
Jan-224.00
Feb-225.90
Mar-224.80
Apr-229.50
May-2219.30
Jun-2213.20
Jul-224.50

New investment projects and government capital expenditure to continue supporting construction.

Weighted average of eight core industries output up 4.5% y-o-y in July; production of steel up 5.7%, cement up 2.2% y-o-y.


 

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