Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191316528328
Feb-191305523569
Mar-191327525424
Apr-191330530800
May-191338532148
Jun-191273538372
Jul-191366543830
Aug-191471552508
Sep-191437555879
Oct-191503556693
Nov-191510566916
Dec-191457572387
Jan-201536589103
Feb-201438592960
Mar-201356588060
Apr-201066562339
May-201216539555
Jun-201258553721
Jul-201483575451
Aug-201476615396
Sep-201545620941
Oct-201544650484
Nov-201635670051
Dec-201704691000

Surging construction costs and house prices impact negatively on housing starts and permits; architecture firms reporting strong business conditions.

Following three months of decline, permits recovered slightly in July and by 2.3% m-o-m (5.7% y-o-y) due to the volatile multi-family home segment. Private non-residential output fell -0.2% m-o-m (-3.6%, y-o-y) in July. Architecture Billings Index (ABI) continued to record strong activity and at 54.6 in July (> 50, expansion).

China

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.70
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.84
Feb-2124.91
Mar-218.31
Apr-21-4.99
May-21-10.93
Jun-21-6.07
Jul-21-9.99

Property market slowing after authorities step up curbs in early 2021 to prevent overheating.

The 3 month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space started fell to -10% in July; floor space sold up 3.4% during same period.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.85
Feb-1952.66.60
Mar-1952.26.33
Apr-1952.13.19
May-1950.62.33
Jun-1950.81.95
Jul-1950.61.86
Aug-1949.11.02
Sep-1950.50.46
Oct-1950.70.56
Nov-1950.61.20
Dec-1951.3-2.61
Jan-2051.94.10
Feb-2052.5-0.36
Mar-2033.5-15.60
Apr-2015.1-29.85
May-2039.5-9.75
Jun-2048.3-4.19
Jul-2048.9-3.47
Aug-2047.80.64
Sep-2047.5-2.83
Oct-2044.9-2.12
Nov-2045.6-0.37
Dec-2045.5-0.09
Jan-2144.1-3.40
Feb-2145-4.77
Mar-2150.118.27
Apr-2150.142.54
May-2150.310.91
Jun-2150.34.57
Jul-2149.82.65
Aug-2149.5-1.56
Sep-21502.54
Oct-2151.22.92
Nov-2153.30.55
Dec-2152.90.93
Jan-2256.63.70
Feb-2256.37.47
Mar-2252.82.35
Apr-2250.42.18
May-2249.22.00
Jun-22470.64
Jul-2245.7#N/A
Aug-2244.2#N/A

Home building sector recovers but commercial and civil still weak.

Eurozone output fell -1.7% m-o-m in June (3.2% y-o-y). IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI fell to 49.5
in August from 49.8 in July amid contruction material shortages (< 50, contraction).

India

X ValuesFloor space started
Jan-191.44
Feb-191.79
Mar-194.98
Apr-194.30
May-192.91
Jun-190.18
Jul-192.00
Aug-19-0.71
Sep-19-5.72
Oct-19-5.41
Nov-190.25
Dec-192.15
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-42.25
May-20-21.14
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-2.11
Nov-20-1.92
Dec-20-1.70

Indian economy showing signs of growth but still far from pre-pandemic levels of activity.

Weighted average of eight core industries output up 9.4% y-o-y in July with all sectors increasing (except crude oil) and mainly due to weak base of comparison in 2020.


 

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