Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191.254517390
Feb-191.302516797
Mar-191.291517696
Apr-191.298522630
May-191.338528461
Jun-191.301540442
Jul-191.347552575
Aug-191.528559755
Sep-191.491563783
Oct-191.538567704
Nov-191.522580112
Dec-191.461586250
Jan-201.500598551
Feb-201.440609465
Mar-201.348617132
Apr-201.050595620
May-201.253583199
Jun-201.329589685
Jul-201.526609849
Aug-201.564641103
Sep-201.643662353
Oct-201.622684180
Nov-201.713702717
Dec-201.760725025
Jan-211.866748052
Feb-211.700742853
Mar-211.731757335
Apr-211.714766640
May-211.68779374
Jun-211.644792075
Jul-211.618806484
Aug-211.837813307
Sep-211.636819594
Oct-211.727828907
Nov-211.775852881
Dec-211.948881281
Jan-221.898912687
Feb-221.817931898
Mar-221.877949368
Apr-221.795965838
May-221.708969636
Jun-221.701955943
Jul-221.658929672
Aug-221.586907606
Sep-221.588891657
Oct-221.555877990
Nov-221.402865170
Dec-221.409853718
Jan-231.354856046
Feb-231.482847507
Mar-231.437846865
Apr-231.417839363
May-231.496857438

US residential construction rebounds driven by a shortage of single-family homes available for sale.

Private non-residential spending remains strong. Private residential output up 2.2% m-o-m (-11.6% y-o-y); Building permits up 5.6% m-o-m (-12.4% y-o-y).

Private non-residential output down -0.3% m-o-m (21% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) up to 51 in May from 48.5 in April (>50, expansion).

China

X ValuesSeries1
Jan-19-1.90
Feb-19-0.86
Mar-19-1.40
Apr-19-0.25
May-19-1.27
Jun-19-2.33
Jul-19-2.30
Aug-190.58
Sep-192.90
Oct-193.11
Nov-192.01
Dec-190.07
Jan-20-6.38
Feb-20-15.49
Mar-20-28.55
Apr-20-19.28
May-20-8.53
Jun-203.19
Jul-206.34
Aug-207.45
Sep-209.85
Oct-2011.68
Nov-2011.25
Dec-2012.67
Jan-2120.60
Feb-2135.73
Mar-2136.64
Apr-2122.52
May-2110.58
Jun-2110.97
Jul-213.39
Aug-21-3.96
Sep-21-12.52
Oct-21-16.65
Nov-21-16.07
Dec-21-16.80
Jan-22-14.05
Feb-22-13.16
Mar-22-13.78
Apr-22-23.32
May-22-28.53
Jun-22-28.03
Jul-22-25.19
Aug-22-22.29
Sep-22-22.06
Oct-22-20.27
Nov-22-24.07
Dec-22-29.91
Jan-23-27.17
Feb-23-19.69
Mar-23-03.54
Apr-23-05.79
May-23-10.64

China: Residential property sector loses momentum, but the government continues with support; infrastructure spending is up.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y floor space started fell -29% in May; floor space sold down -11% y-o-y. Railway, road, and civil aviation investments are up 16%, 5%, and 8%, respectively, year to date, year on year.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.65
Feb-1952.65.64
Mar-1952.25.78
Apr-1952.12.82
May-1950.61.87
Jun-1950.81.86
Jul-1950.61.58
Aug-1949.11.95
Sep-1950.50.73
Oct-1950.71.02
Nov-1950.61.48
Dec-1951.3-1.44
Jan-2051.94.94
Feb-2052.50
Mar-2033.5-15.50
Apr-2015.1-29.50
May-2039.5-10.16
Jun-2048.3-4.56
Jul-2048.9-2.75
Aug-2047.80
Sep-2047.5-2.28
Oct-2044.9-1.37
Nov-2045.6-0.91
Dec-2045.5-1.19
Jan-2144.1-3.2
Feb-2145-3.98
Mar-2150.118.84
Apr-2150.142.75
May-2150.312.64
Jun-2150.35.16
Jul-2149.83.58
Aug-2149.5-1.00
Sep-21503.17
Oct-2151.23.62
Nov-2153.32.76
Dec-2152.9-0.27
Jan-2256.63.95
Feb-2256.37.63
Mar-2252.83.79
Apr-2250.42.81
May-2249.22.53
Jun-22472.09
Jul-22471.45
Aug-2245.72.30
Sep-2244.20.72
Oct-2245.30.72
Nov-2243.61.16
Dec-2242.6-0.18
Jan-2346.10.53
Feb-2347.61.58
Mar-2345-0.78
Apr-2345.20.26
May-2344.6
Jun-2344.2

Eurozone: construction remains generally weak; confidence falls to its lowest levels in June since December 2022.

Eurozone construction down -0.4% m-o-m (0.3% y-o-y); Buildings down -0.5% m-o-m (-0.3% y-o-y); Civil works up 0.4% m-o-m (4.2% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI declined to 44.2 in June from 44.6 in May (< 50, contraction).

India

X ValuesAvg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-191.44
Feb-191.79
Mar-194.98
Apr-194.30
May-192.91
Jun-190.18
Jul-192.00
Aug-19-0.71
Sep-19-5.72
Oct-19-5.41
Nov-190.25
Dec-192.15
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.71
Dec-20-0.29
Jan-210.67
Feb-21-3.65
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-215.40
Oct-218.70
Nov-213.20
Dec-214.10
Jan-224.00
Feb-225.90
Mar-224.80
Apr-229.50
May-2219.3
Jun-2213.1
Jul-224.8
Aug-224.2
Sep-228.3
Oct-220.7
Nov-225.7
Dec-228.3
Jan-239.7
Feb-237.4
Mar-233.6
Apr-234.3
May-234.3

India: growth in the core index of infrastructure industries was broadly stable in May.

The weighted average of eight core industries’ output rose by 4.3% y-o-y in May; steel production was up 9.2%; cement was up 15.5% y-o-y.


 

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