Construction market trends

United States

X Values Permits (LHS, SAAR Millions) Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-19 1.254 516899
Feb-19 1.302 516346
Mar-19 1.291 517654
Apr-19 1.298 523932
May-19 1.338 531954
Jun-19 1.301 542612
Jul-19 1.347 554234
Aug-19 1.528 558908
Sep-19 1.491 561924
Oct-19 1.538 564734
Nov-19 1.522 577566
Dec-19 1.461 583160
Jan-20 1.500 596265
Feb-20 1.440 607522
Mar-20 1.348 617990
Apr-20 1.050 599184
May-20 1.253 591253
Jun-20 1.329 593464
Jul-20 1.526 614353
Aug-20 1.564 638430
Sep-20 1.643 657613
Oct-20 1.622 677725
Nov-20 1.713 697825
Dec-20 1.760 719089
Jan-21 1.866 734961
Feb-21 1.700 738572
Mar-21 1.731 757841
Apr-21 1.714 770734
May-21 1.68 788401
Jun-21 1.644 799279
Jul-21 1.618 806484
Aug-21 1.837 811497
Sep-21 1.636 814272
Oct-21 1.727 816908
Nov-21 1.775 824006
Dec-21 1.948 842949
Jan-22 1.898 881907
Feb-22 1.817 903400
Mar-22 1.877 920041
Apr-22 1.795 931545
May-22 1.708 945199
Jun-22 1.701 937710
Jul-22 1.658 927517
Aug-22 1.586 895698
Sep-22 1.588 879682
Oct-22 1.555 864902
Nov-22 1.402 859860
Dec-22 1.409 858804
Jan-23 1.354 841566
Feb-23 1.482 841737
Mar-23 1.437 841595
Apr-23 1.417 845441

US: construction sector is supported by private nonresidential output; residential output is generally weak.

Private residential output was up 0.5% m-o-m (-9.2% y-o-y) in April; building permits were down -1.4% m-o-m (-21% y-o-y).

Private non-residential output was up 2.4% m-o-m (31% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) was down to 48.5 in April from 50.4 in March (<50, contraction).

China

X Values Floor space started
Jan-19 17.91
Feb-19 13.08
Mar-19 10.69
Apr-19 13.08
May-19 11.15
Jun-19 9.12
Jul-19 6.61
Aug-19 6.95
Sep-19 6.05
Oct-19 11.01
Nov-19 8.02
Dec-19 8.26
Jan-20 -6.58
Feb-20 -17.65
Mar-20 -30.64
Apr-20 -18.42
May-20 -8.57
Jun-20 3.82
Jul-20 7.59
Aug-20 7.7
Sep-20 3.91
Oct-20 1.28
Nov-20 1.84
Dec-20 4.71
Jan-21 11.8
Feb-21 24.9
Mar-21 8.3
Apr-21 -5
May-21 -10.9
Jun-21 -6.1
Jul-21 -10
Aug-21 -13.1
Sep-21 -17.4
Oct-21 -21.2
Nov-21 -22.6
Dec-21 -28.6
Jan-22 -24.1
Feb-22 -23.1
Mar-22 -17.5
Apr-22 -28.9
May-22 -36
Jun-22 -43.8
Jul-22 -44.1
Aug-22 -45.3
Sep-22 -45.1
Oct-22 -42.1
Nov-22 -43.9
Dec-22 -43.8
Jan-23 -40.4
Feb-23 -27.45
Mar-23 -19.16
Apr-23 -24.24

China: post-pandemic bounce-back weaker than anticipated; state banks continue cutting lending rates; infrastructure output growing.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space started fell -24% in April; floor space sold was down -6% y-o-y. Infrastructure spending in rail, road, and civil is up 14%, 6%, and 4%, respectively, on a year-to-date basis, year on year.

Europe

X Values PMI (LHS) Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-19 50.6 0.85
Feb-19 52.6 6.60
Mar-19 52.2 6.33
Apr-19 52.1 3.19
May-19 50.6 2.33
Jun-19 50.8 1.95
Jul-19 50.6 1.86
Aug-19 49.1 1.02
Sep-19 50.5 0.46
Oct-19 50.7 0.56
Nov-19 50.6 1.20
Dec-19 51.3 -2.61
Jan-20 51.9 4.10
Feb-20 52.5 -0.36
Mar-20 33.5 -15.60
Apr-20 15.1 -29.85
May-20 39.5 -9.75
Jun-20 48.3 -4.19
Jul-20 48.9 -3.47
Aug-20 47.8 0.64
Sep-20 47.5 -2.83
Oct-20 44.9 -2.12
Nov-20 45.6 -0.37
Dec-20 45.5 -0.09
Jan-21 44.1 -2.50
Feb-21 45 -4.41
Mar-21 50.1 18.59
Apr-21 50.1 42.80
May-21 50.3 11.62
Jun-21 50.3 4.57
Jul-21 49.8 4.07
Aug-21 49.5 -0.82
Sep-21 50 4.04
Oct-21 51.2 4.89
Nov-21 53.3 2.30
Dec-21 52.9 2.22
Jan-22 56.6 4.13
Feb-22 56.3 7.72
Mar-22 52.8 3.69
Apr-22 50.4 2.91
May-22 49.2 2.53
Jun-22 47 2.09
Jul-22 47 1.36
Aug-22 45.7 2.31
Sep-22 44.2 0.72
Oct-22 45.3 0.90
Nov-22 43.6 1.08
Dec-22 42.6 -0.18
Jan-23 46.1 0.70
Feb-23 47.6 1.66
Mar-23 45 -1.39
Apr-23 45.2
23-May 44.6

Eurozone: leading indicators remain weak despite signs of slowing input cost inflation.

Eurozone construction was down -1.5% y-o-y in March, making this the largest decline in output since August 2021. The decline was driven by buildings (-1.3% y-o-y) and civil works (-2.2% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI declined to 44.6 in May from 45.2 in April (< 50, contraction).

India

X Values Avg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-19 1.44
Feb-19 1.79
Mar-19 4.98
Apr-19 4.30
May-19 2.91
Jun-19 0.18
Jul-19 2.00
Aug-19 -0.71
Sep-19 -5.72
Oct-19 -5.41
Nov-19 0.25
Dec-19 2.15
Jan-20 1.36
Feb-20 5.10
Mar-20 -8.96
Apr-20 -44.41
May-20 -21.15
Jun-20 -12.09
Jul-20 -7.95
Aug-20 -7.48
Sep-20 -0.34
Oct-20 -1.79
Nov-20 -1.71
Dec-20 -0.29
Jan-21 0.67
Feb-21 -3.65
Mar-21 12.60
Apr-21 62.60
May-21 16.40
Jun-21 9.40
Jul-21 9.90
Aug-21 12.20
Sep-21 5.40
Oct-21 8.70
Nov-21 3.20
Dec-21 4.10
Jan-22 4.00
Feb-22 5.90
Mar-22 4.80
Apr-22 9.50
May-22 19.30
Jun-22 13.10
Jul-22 4.80
Aug-22 4.20
Sep-22 7.80
Oct-22 0.90
Nov-22 5.7
Dec-22 7.0
Jan-23 8.9
Feb-23 7.2
Mar-23 3.6
Apr-23 3.5

India: core index of infrastructure industries slows to 6-month low in April.

The weighted average of eight core industries’ output was up 3.5% y-o-y in April; production of steel was up 12%, and cement was up 11.6% y-o-y.


 

Technical trends

Making modular construction fit

Modular construction is reshaping the future of the industry, offering efficiency, adaptability, and sustainability to meet the evolving needs of our built environment. Although it’s gaining momentum, certain challenges still remain. To introduce seamless integration and broader adoption of modular construction, it is crucial to enhance collaboration among stakeholders and continue the development of standardised practices. Embracing this transformative approach will foster wider adoption and overcome skepticism.

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