Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191.295522830
Feb-191.304522444
Mar-191.316523776
Apr-191.337530488
May-191.338538194
Jun-191.276549077
Jul-191.369560959
Aug-191.479566061
Sep-191.439569395
Oct-191.509572486
Nov-191.509585352
Dec-191.453591208
Jan-201.550605832
Feb-201.478617004
Mar-201.382627211
Apr-201.094607913
May-201.246600302
Jun-201.296603019
Jul-201.542624276
Aug-201.522648039
Sep-201.589667490
Oct-201.595687334
Nov-201.696707819
Dec-201.758728680
Jan-211.883744622
Feb-211.726747851
Mar-211.755768074
Apr-211.765780114
May-211.691797728
Jun-211.661808662
Jul-211.655815483
Aug-211.772820597
Sep-211.615823155
Oct-211.698825903
Nov-211.729832997
Dec-211.896852307
Jan-221.841890763
Feb-221.857912047
Mar-221.879929023
Apr-221.823940598
May-221.695954475
Jun-221.696946828
Jul-221.685936964
Aug-221.542905056
Sep-221.564889018
Oct-221.512874105
Nov-221.351869322
Dec-221.337861674
Jan-231.229856912

High inflation and rising borrowing costs continue to negatively weigh on new housing demand.

Private residential output down -0.6% m-o-m (-4% y-o-y); Building permits up 0.1% m-o-m (-27% y-o-y), remaining at levels close to December’s 31 month low.

Private non-residential output up 0.9% m-o-m (19.1% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) up to 49.3 in January from 48.4 in December (<50, contraction).

China

X ValuesFloor space started
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.70
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.8
Feb-2124.9
Mar-218.3
Apr-21-5.0
May-21-19.9
Jun-21-6.1
Jul-21-10.0
Aug-21-13.1
Sep-21-17.4
Oct-21-21.3
Nov-21-22.6
Dec-21-28.6
Jan-22-24.1
Feb-22-23.1
Mar-22-17.5
Apr-22-28.9
May-22-36.0
Jun-22-43.8
Jul-22-44.1
Aug-22-45.3
Sep-22-45.1
Oct-22-42.1
Nov-22-43.8
Dec-22-43.8

Residential construction down in 2022 while infrastructure activity supported overall construction; turnaround in residential expected in 2023.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y growth in floor space fell -44% in December; floor space sold down -30% y-o-y.

*Data not currently available for January

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.85
Feb-1952.66.60
Mar-1952.26.33
Apr-1952.13.19
May-1950.62.33
Jun-1950.81.95
Jul-1950.61.86
Aug-1949.11.02
Sep-1950.50.46
Oct-1950.70.56
Nov-1950.61.20
Dec-1951.3-2.61
Jan-2051.94.10
Feb-2052.5-0.36
Mar-2033.5-15.60
Apr-2015.1-29.85
May-2039.5-9.75
Jun-2048.3-4.19
Jul-2048.9-3.47
Aug-2047.80.64
Sep-2047.5-2.83
Oct-2044.9-2.12
Nov-2045.6-0.37
Dec-2045.5-0.09
Jan-2144.1-2.50
Feb-2145-4.41
Mar-2150.118.59
Apr-2150.142.80
May-2150.311.62
Jun-2150.34.57
Jul-2149.84.07
Aug-2149.5-0.82
Sep-21504.04
Oct-2151.24.89
Nov-2153.32.30
Dec-2152.92.22
Jan-2256.64.13
Feb-2256.37.72
Mar-2252.83.69
Apr-2250.42.91
May-2249.22.53
Jun-22472.09
Jul-22471.36
Aug-2245.72.31
Sep-2244.20.72
Oct-2245.30.90
Nov-2243.61.08
Dec-2242.6-0.18
Jan-2346.10.70
Feb-2347.61.66
Mar-2345-1.39
Apr-2345.2
23-May44.6

Eurozone construction shows weakness but a key leading indicator points to an easing decline in activity.

Eurozone construction output down -2.5% m-o-m (-0.7% y-o-y); buildings down -2.3% m-o-m (-0.7% y-o-y); civil works down -4% m-o-m (-1.3% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI rose to 47.6 in February 2023 from 46.1 in January, pointing to an ease in the overall decline in construction activity (< 50, contraction).

India

X ValuesAvg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-191.44
Feb-191.79
Mar-194.98
Apr-194.30
May-192.91
Jun-190.18
Jul-192.00
Aug-19-0.71
Sep-19-5.72
Oct-19-5.41
Nov-190.25
Dec-192.15
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.71
Dec-20-0.29
Jan-210.67
Feb-21-3.65
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-215.40
Oct-218.70
Nov-213.20
Dec-214.10
Jan-224.00
Feb-225.90
Mar-224.80
Apr-229.50
May-2219.30
Jun-2213.10
Jul-224.80
Aug-224.20
Sep-227.80
Oct-220.90
Nov-225.7
Dec-227.0
Jan-237.8

India’s core index of infrastructure industries continued making gains in January.

The weighted average of eight core industries output by 7.8% y-o-y in January; production of steel was up 6.2%; cement was up 4.6% y-o-y.


 

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The recently launched constructsteel Steel Solutions platform aims to centralise steel construction products and solutions available around the world.

Technical trends

Refurbishing Europe: Igniting opportunities in the built environment

The built environment is a critical puzzle piece for both decarbonisation and the energy crisis. Refurbishing Europe’s buildings is essential for achieving the European Union’s energy efficiency goals. With a total renovation rate of just 12 percent annually, the current rate of refurbishment is not sufficient to meet the EU’s targets.

To close the gap, the EU is encouraging innovative solutions such as digital tools, performance contracts, and new financing models. These solutions are creating opportunities for governments, businesses, and citizens to make buildings more efficient and create jobs, at the same time protecting the environment.

By understanding the potential of refurbishment and engaging in forward-looking policymaking, governments, and the private sector can create a better future for all.

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