Construction market trends

United States

X Values Permits (LHS, SAAR Millions) Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-19 1.254 517390
Feb-19 1.302 516797
Mar-19 1.291 517696
Apr-19 1.298 522630
May-19 1.338 528461
Jun-19 1.301 540442
Jul-19 1.347 552575
Aug-19 1.528 559755
Sep-19 1.491 563783
Oct-19 1.538 567704
Nov-19 1.522 580112
Dec-19 1.461 586250
Jan-20 1.500 598551
Feb-20 1.440 609465
Mar-20 1.348 617132
Apr-20 1.050 595620
May-20 1.253 583199
Jun-20 1.329 589685
Jul-20 1.526 609849
Aug-20 1.564 641103
Sep-20 1.643 662353
Oct-20 1.622 684180
Nov-20 1.713 702717
Dec-20 1.760 725025
Jan-21 1.866 748052
Feb-21 1.700 742853
Mar-21 1.731 757335
Apr-21 1.714 766640
May-21 1.68 779374
Jun-21 1.644 792075
Jul-21 1.618 806484
Aug-21 1.837 813307
Sep-21 1.636 819594
Oct-21 1.727 828907
Nov-21 1.775 852881
Dec-21 1.948 881281
Jan-22 1.898 912687
Feb-22 1.817 931898
Mar-22 1.877 949368
Apr-22 1.795 965838
May-22 1.708 969636
Jun-22 1.701 955943
Jul-22 1.658 929672
Aug-22 1.586 907606
Sep-22 1.588 891657
Oct-22 1.555 877990
Nov-22 1.402 865170
Dec-22 1.409 853718
Jan-23 1.354 856046
Feb-23 1.482 847507
Mar-23 1.437 846865
Apr-23 1.417 824707
May-23 1.496 853896
Jun-23 1.441 866805
Jul-23 1.443 878978

Single-family homebuilding rose sharply in July due to a shortage of pre-owned houses, but elevated mortgage rates risk to housing market recovery. Government efforts to boost manufacturing supporting factory construction.

Private residential output up 1.4% m-o-m in July (-5.5% y-o-y); Building permits were up 0.1% m-o-m (-13% y-o-y).

Private non-residential output is up 0.5% m-o-m in July (19.8% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) falls to 50 in July from 50.1 in June (=50, no change).

China

X Values Floor space started
Jan-19 17.91
Feb-19 13.08
Mar-19 10.69
Apr-19 13.08
May-19 11.15
Jun-19 9.12
Jul-19 6.61
Aug-19 6.95
Sep-19 6.05
Oct-19 11.01
Nov-19 8.02
Dec-19 8.26
Jan-20 -6.58
Feb-20 -17.65
Mar-20 -30.64
Apr-20 -18.42
May-20 -8.57
Jun-20 3.82
Jul-20 7.59
Aug-20 7.7
Sep-20 3.91
Oct-20 1.28
Nov-20 1.84
Dec-20 4.71
Jan-21 11.8
Feb-21 24.9
Mar-21 8.3
Apr-21 -5
May-21 -10.9
Jun-21 -6.1
Jul-21 -10
Aug-21 -13.1
Sep-21 -17.4
Oct-21 -21.2
Nov-21 -22.6
Dec-21 -28.6
Jan-22 -24.1
Feb-22 -23.1
Mar-22 -17.5
Apr-22 -28.9
May-22 -36
Jun-22 -43.8
Jul-22 -44.1
Aug-22 -45.3
Sep-22 -45.1
Oct-22 -42.1
Nov-22 -43.9
Dec-22 -43.8
Jan-23 -40.4
Feb-23 -27.45
Mar-23 -19.16
Apr-23 -24.24
May-23 -28.65
Jun-23 -29.59
Jul-23 -29.12

China: Residential real estate activity is subdued with government officials attempting to support the sector with incentives; infrastructure growth supports overall activity.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y decline in floor space started reached -30% in July; floor space sold down -25% y-o-y. Railway investment is up 25% year-to-date on year-on-year basis.

Europe

X Values PMI (LHS) Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-19 50.6 0.65
Feb-19 52.6 5.64
Mar-19 52.2 5.78
Apr-19 52.1 2.82
May-19 50.6 1.87
Jun-19 50.8 1.86
Jul-19 50.6 1.58
Aug-19 49.1 1.95
Sep-19 50.5 0.73
Oct-19 50.7 1.02
Nov-19 50.6 1.48
Dec-19 51.3 -1.44
Jan-20 51.9 4.94
Feb-20 52.5 0
Mar-20 33.5 -15.50
Apr-20 15.1 -29.50
May-20 39.5 -10.16
Jun-20 48.3 -4.56
Jul-20 48.9 -2.75
Aug-20 47.8 0
Sep-20 47.5 -2.28
Oct-20 44.9 -1.37
Nov-20 45.6 -0.91
Dec-20 45.5 -1.19
Jan-21 44.1 -3.2
Feb-21 45 -3.98
Mar-21 50.1 18.84
Apr-21 50.1 42.75
May-21 50.3 12.64
Jun-21 50.3 5.16
Jul-21 49.8 3.58
Aug-21 49.5 -1.00
Sep-21 50 3.17
Oct-21 51.2 3.62
Nov-21 53.3 2.76
Dec-21 52.9 -0.27
Jan-22 56.6 3.95
Feb-22 56.3 7.63
Mar-22 52.8 3.79
Apr-22 50.4 2.81
May-22 49.2 2.53
Jun-22 47 2.09
Jul-22 47 1.45
Aug-22 45.7 2.30
Sep-22 44.2 0.72
Oct-22 45.3 0.72
Nov-22 43.6 1.16
Dec-22 42.6 -0.18
Jan-23 46.1 0.53
Feb-23 47.6 1.58
Mar-23 45 -0.78
Apr-23 45.2 0.26
May-23 44.6 0.53
Jun-23 44.2 0.18
Jul-23 43.5
Aug-23 43.4

Eurozone construction continues to exhibit weak activity with confidence contracting.

Eurozone construction down -1% m-o-m in June (0.2% y-o-y); Buildings down -1.2% m-o-m (-0.6% y-o-y); Civil works down -0.2% m-o-m (4.4% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI declined to 43.4 in August from 43.5 in July (< 50, contraction).

India

X Values Avg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-19 1.44
Feb-19 1.79
Mar-19 4.98
Apr-19 4.30
May-19 2.91
Jun-19 0.18
Jul-19 2.00
Aug-19 -0.71
Sep-19 -5.72
Oct-19 -5.41
Nov-19 0.25
Dec-19 2.15
Jan-20 1.36
Feb-20 5.10
Mar-20 -8.96
Apr-20 -44.41
May-20 -21.15
Jun-20 -12.09
Jul-20 -7.95
Aug-20 -7.48
Sep-20 -0.34
Oct-20 -1.79
Nov-20 -1.71
Dec-20 -0.29
Jan-21 0.67
Feb-21 -3.65
Mar-21 12.60
Apr-21 62.60
May-21 16.40
Jun-21 9.40
Jul-21 9.90
Aug-21 12.20
Sep-21 5.40
Oct-21 8.70
Nov-21 3.20
Dec-21 4.10
Jan-22 4.00
Feb-22 5.90
Mar-22 4.80
Apr-22 9.50
May-22 19.3
Jun-22 13.1
Jul-22 4.8
Aug-22 4.2
Sep-22 8.3
Oct-22 0.7
Nov-22 5.7
Dec-22 8.3
Jan-23 9.7
Feb-23 7.4
Mar-23 4.2
Apr-23 4.6
May-23 5.0
Jun-23 8.3
Jul-23 8.0

India’s core activity improves, reflected by increasing government capital expenditure and its impact on infrastructure activity.

The weighted average of eight core industries’ output rose by 8% y-o-y in July; production of steel was up 13.5%; cement was up 7% y-o-y.


 

Special topic

Celebrating excellence in steel construction

In an exciting first for constructsteel, we are delighted to announce the inaugural constructsteel Award winners. We proudly unveil the 2023 constructsteel Award recipients, celebrating excellence in steel construction.

The award aims to recognise exceptional contributions in the steel construction industry, highlighting achievements in categories such as outstanding projects, innovative solutions, and sustainable practices.

Technical trends

Capital projects are critical for a green future

Achieving net-zero emissions targets will require a substantial increase in annual spending on physical assets, from $3.5 trillion today to $9.2 trillion by 2050. This investment will encompass emerging technologies like clean hydrogen, battery storage, and carbon capture.

McKinsey’s article highlights that capital projects, especially those related to the energy transition, are complex and time-consuming. The existing pipeline of projects is insufficient, and challenges include rising labor costs, high demand for materials, strained global supply chains, and the absence of cost-efficiency data for nascent technologies.

However, there is a positive trend in increased investment in the energy transition, such as the US government’s release of $370 billion for clean-energy projects. The main challenge now is securing the necessary resources, talent, and physical space, while also addressing supply chain issues and financing for new industry players. The article urges industry players to rethink their approach to projects, aiming for faster, more cost-effective, and efficient delivery to meet the growing demand for green infrastructure.

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