Construction market trends

United States

X ValuesPermits (LHS, SAAR Millions)Output (RHS, SAAR USD billions)
Jan-191.254517390
Feb-191.302516797
Mar-191.291517696
Apr-191.298522630
May-191.338528461
Jun-191.301540442
Jul-191.347552575
Aug-191.528559755
Sep-191.491563783
Oct-191.538567704
Nov-191.522580112
Dec-191.461586250
Jan-201.500598551
Feb-201.440609465
Mar-201.348617132
Apr-201.050595620
May-201.253583199
Jun-201.329589685
Jul-201.526609849
Aug-201.564641103
Sep-201.643662353
Oct-201.622684180
Nov-201.713702717
Dec-201.760725025
Jan-211.866748052
Feb-211.700742853
Mar-211.731757335
Apr-211.714766640
May-211.68779374
Jun-211.644792075
Jul-211.618806484
Aug-211.837813307
Sep-211.636819594
Oct-211.727828907
Nov-211.775852881
Dec-211.948881281
Jan-221.898912687
Feb-221.817931898
Mar-221.877949368
Apr-221.795965838
May-221.708969636
Jun-221.701955943
Jul-221.658929672
Aug-221.586907606
Sep-221.588891657
Oct-221.555877990
Nov-221.402865170
Dec-221.409853718
Jan-231.354856046
Feb-231.482847507
Mar-231.437846865
Apr-231.417824707
May-231.496853896
Jun-231.441866805
Jul-231.443878978

Single-family homebuilding rose sharply in July due to a shortage of pre-owned houses, but elevated mortgage rates risk to housing market recovery. Government efforts to boost manufacturing supporting factory construction.

Private residential output up 1.4% m-o-m in July (-5.5% y-o-y); Building permits were up 0.1% m-o-m (-13% y-o-y).

Private non-residential output is up 0.5% m-o-m in July (19.8% y-o-y); Architecture Billings Index (ABI) falls to 50 in July from 50.1 in June (=50, no change).

China

X ValuesFloor space started
Jan-1917.91
Feb-1913.08
Mar-1910.69
Apr-1913.08
May-1911.15
Jun-199.12
Jul-196.61
Aug-196.95
Sep-196.05
Oct-1911.01
Nov-198.02
Dec-198.26
Jan-20-6.58
Feb-20-17.65
Mar-20-30.64
Apr-20-18.42
May-20-8.57
Jun-203.82
Jul-207.59
Aug-207.7
Sep-203.91
Oct-201.28
Nov-201.84
Dec-204.71
Jan-2111.8
Feb-2124.9
Mar-218.3
Apr-21-5
May-21-10.9
Jun-21-6.1
Jul-21-10
Aug-21-13.1
Sep-21-17.4
Oct-21-21.2
Nov-21-22.6
Dec-21-28.6
Jan-22-24.1
Feb-22-23.1
Mar-22-17.5
Apr-22-28.9
May-22-36
Jun-22-43.8
Jul-22-44.1
Aug-22-45.3
Sep-22-45.1
Oct-22-42.1
Nov-22-43.9
Dec-22-43.8
Jan-23-40.4
Feb-23-27.45
Mar-23-19.16
Apr-23-24.24
May-23-28.65
Jun-23-29.59
Jul-23-29.12

China: Residential real estate activity is subdued with government officials attempting to support the sector with incentives; infrastructure growth supports overall activity.

The 3-month moving average y-o-y decline in floor space started reached -30% in July; floor space sold down -25% y-o-y. Railway investment is up 25% year-to-date on year-on-year basis.

Europe

X ValuesPMI (LHS)Output (RHS, %, y-o-y)
Jan-1950.60.65
Feb-1952.65.64
Mar-1952.25.78
Apr-1952.12.82
May-1950.61.87
Jun-1950.81.86
Jul-1950.61.58
Aug-1949.11.95
Sep-1950.50.73
Oct-1950.71.02
Nov-1950.61.48
Dec-1951.3-1.44
Jan-2051.94.94
Feb-2052.50
Mar-2033.5-15.50
Apr-2015.1-29.50
May-2039.5-10.16
Jun-2048.3-4.56
Jul-2048.9-2.75
Aug-2047.80
Sep-2047.5-2.28
Oct-2044.9-1.37
Nov-2045.6-0.91
Dec-2045.5-1.19
Jan-2144.1-3.2
Feb-2145-3.98
Mar-2150.118.84
Apr-2150.142.75
May-2150.312.64
Jun-2150.35.16
Jul-2149.83.58
Aug-2149.5-1.00
Sep-21503.17
Oct-2151.23.62
Nov-2153.32.76
Dec-2152.9-0.27
Jan-2256.63.95
Feb-2256.37.63
Mar-2252.83.79
Apr-2250.42.81
May-2249.22.53
Jun-22472.09
Jul-22471.45
Aug-2245.72.30
Sep-2244.20.72
Oct-2245.30.72
Nov-2243.61.16
Dec-2242.6-0.18
Jan-2346.10.53
Feb-2347.61.58
Mar-2345-0.78
Apr-2345.20.26
May-2344.60.53
Jun-2344.20.18
Jul-2343.5
Aug-2343.4

Eurozone construction continues to exhibit weak activity with confidence contracting.

Eurozone construction down -1% m-o-m in June (0.2% y-o-y); Buildings down -1.2% m-o-m (-0.6% y-o-y); Civil works down -0.2% m-o-m (4.4% y-o-y).

The IHS Markit Eurozone Construction PMI declined to 43.4 in August from 43.5 in July (< 50, contraction).

India

X ValuesAvg industrial production (y-o-y)
Jan-191.44
Feb-191.79
Mar-194.98
Apr-194.30
May-192.91
Jun-190.18
Jul-192.00
Aug-19-0.71
Sep-19-5.72
Oct-19-5.41
Nov-190.25
Dec-192.15
Jan-201.36
Feb-205.10
Mar-20-8.96
Apr-20-44.41
May-20-21.15
Jun-20-12.09
Jul-20-7.95
Aug-20-7.48
Sep-20-0.34
Oct-20-1.79
Nov-20-1.71
Dec-20-0.29
Jan-210.67
Feb-21-3.65
Mar-2112.60
Apr-2162.60
May-2116.40
Jun-219.40
Jul-219.90
Aug-2112.20
Sep-215.40
Oct-218.70
Nov-213.20
Dec-214.10
Jan-224.00
Feb-225.90
Mar-224.80
Apr-229.50
May-2219.3
Jun-2213.1
Jul-224.8
Aug-224.2
Sep-228.3
Oct-220.7
Nov-225.7
Dec-228.3
Jan-239.7
Feb-237.4
Mar-234.2
Apr-234.6
May-235.0
Jun-238.3
Jul-238.0

India’s core activity improves, reflected by increasing government capital expenditure and its impact on infrastructure activity.

The weighted average of eight core industries’ output rose by 8% y-o-y in July; production of steel was up 13.5%; cement was up 7% y-o-y.


 

Special topic

Celebrating excellence in steel construction

In an exciting first for constructsteel, we are delighted to announce the inaugural constructsteel Award winners. We proudly unveil the 2023 constructsteel Award recipients, celebrating excellence in steel construction.

The award aims to recognise exceptional contributions in the steel construction industry, highlighting achievements in categories such as outstanding projects, innovative solutions, and sustainable practices.

Technical trends

Capital projects are critical for a green future

Achieving net-zero emissions targets will require a substantial increase in annual spending on physical assets, from $3.5 trillion today to $9.2 trillion by 2050. This investment will encompass emerging technologies like clean hydrogen, battery storage, and carbon capture.

McKinsey’s article highlights that capital projects, especially those related to the energy transition, are complex and time-consuming. The existing pipeline of projects is insufficient, and challenges include rising labor costs, high demand for materials, strained global supply chains, and the absence of cost-efficiency data for nascent technologies.

However, there is a positive trend in increased investment in the energy transition, such as the US government’s release of $370 billion for clean-energy projects. The main challenge now is securing the necessary resources, talent, and physical space, while also addressing supply chain issues and financing for new industry players. The article urges industry players to rethink their approach to projects, aiming for faster, more cost-effective, and efficient delivery to meet the growing demand for green infrastructure.

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